Photo: Reuters
President Donald Trump sure loves Twitter. Social media,
including Twitter, if used properly and well, can be valuable tools for world
leaders. If not, these tools can cause a lot of headaches, if not something worse, for
them. Trump’s fascination with and addiction to Twitter seems to fall in the
latter category.
Sure, Trump does use Twitter to highlight his meetings, new
legislation and executive orders, and his pet political causes. Unfortunately,
he also uses Twitter for a whole lot more than that. He fairly constantly
wields his Twitter account to demonize the left, the media, and other domestic
opponents. Trump’s recent and much-publicized spat with Morning Joe’s Joe
Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski is only the latest example of his reckless use
of Twitter. This fiasco is fairly instructive of the perils of Trump using
twitter for ill-conceived ends.
So what happened? It’s sufficient to say that Trump, on Thursday,
irked by what he perceived as unfair reporting and analysis by Scarborough and
Brzezinski, tweeted unflattering remarks about both Joe and Mika, including a
misogynist one on Mika, possibly lied about an interaction between him and Joe and
Mika, and criticized Morning Joe’s television ratings. (See here and here.) Trump’s tweets, as many
do, received a firestorm of attention, to the point that they were discussed and defended
in the daily press briefing by Sarah Huckabee Sanders—which caused another
round of scorn heaped on the White House. And as for Scarborough and Brzezinski,
they kept the story alive by jointly penning an editorial in The Washington Post and debating and criticizing Trump’s tweets the next day on their show. Never
to let the other side get the last punch, Trump has continued to tweet about Scarborough
and Brzezinski, thereby giving further life to a decidedly negative story that can
only hurt himself politically. For instance, he tweeted Friday and Saturday about
Joe and Mika and their show, going so far as to call Brzezinski “dumb as a rock.”
Trump thinks he’s defending himself and picking up political
points in the process, by putting the “liberal media” in its place. But this is
extraordinarily short-sighted. His incendiary tweets, and the Morning Joe
debacle in particular, come at a great cost—to him, his political standing and
agenda, US institutions, and American society more generally.
So what’s the fallout of his Twitter feud with Morning Joe?
Here are several things that immediately come to mind.
1. It highlights the incompetence of not only Trump, but his
staff. After all, what kind of a president engages in name calling with
journalists on social media? This behavior is usually observed from tweens
these days; we don’t expect this from the leader of the so-called free world. As
a result, it also renews speculation—as wild it may be—about his mental state and his fitness for the presidency. Additionally, Huckabee Sanders willingly defended the indefensible. In her press briefing, she defended Trump’s tweets and
then placed blame on “the liberal media” for constantly criticizing Trump.
2. Attacking the media and journalists only incentivizes them
to press harder on Trump regarding his shady business deals, nepotism in the
White House, Russiagate, and so on, which only makes life more difficult—not easier—for
him.
3. The Morning Joe tweets caused Republican and Democratic
Congresspersons to unite publicly in their frustrations with Trump’s coarse
rhetoric—taking this situation out of the land of partisanship. Hence, Trump
suffered political blowback from the right and left.
4. Did Trump try to coerce, or even blackmail, journalists?
That’s exactly what Joe and Mika stated in their Friday Morning Joe discussion
of Trump’s tweets. Reportedly, Trump offered to pull some strings to
scrap a sordid story on Scarborough and Brzezinski from being published in the National Enquirer. If true,
this raises all sorts of questions—legal, as well as moral and ethical.
Moreover, does this mean that Trump has another media outlet (besides Fox News)
doing his bidding? And was he behind the infamous 2016 Enquirer story that
linked Senator and then-GOP presidential contender Ted Cruz’s father to the assassination of President John F. Kennedy?
5. Why is Trump so preoccupied with domestic critics--in fact much more than with the host of complex national security threats and issues the US faces nowadays? Is it
simply because he’s a narcissist? Or does he have massive political skeletons
in his closet that he wishes remain hidden?
6. Trump’s comments on Brzezinski are likely another window
into his thinking about women. Throughout his public life, Trump has a long history
making of harsh, misogynist remarks about women—about their intellect, their
looks, etc. He’s brushed them off, saying that they were largely made for
entertainment purposes. That, in itself, is rather revealing. And his tweets on Mika also expose a very weird obsession
with women and bleeding. This first came to light with his post-debate comments
on Megyn Kelly. I’m not sure and don’t feel qualified to say what we should
make of Trump’s bizarre bleeding comments. That said, I encourage you to look
at two recent articles on this topic from The Atlantic and Daily Beast.
7. Trump’s persistent needling and attacking of the media only
entrenches preexisting negatively held beliefs about “the liberal media” and “liberal
journalists” within his base. Regardless of Trump, maybe these folks would
never watch CNN or MSNBC or read The Washington Post or The New York Times. Perhaps.
But Trump is ensuring that they never will. But what’s worse, he’s pushing his
followers toward pro-Trump fringe outlets like Infowars and Breitbart, which
only further fuels the polarization and extremism endemic in US politics today.
This post, so far, has focused only on the domestic repercussions
of Trump’s rash, rude, and often vulgar tweets. The sad reality is that Trump’s
tweeting also has foreign policy implications. Leftist talking heads and social
media types lament that Trump’s tweets could trigger an international war. You
may recall his brash, at times unprovoked, tweets on Taiwan, China, North Korea,
etc. and the angry responses from officials from these countries, and so it seems
there’s a grain of truth in this worry. But wars over Twitter are highly
unlikely. The good news is that even if Trump is as dopey as he sometimes seems—and
that’s not a given, mind you—other world leaders, by and large, aren’t,
especially those in other great power nations. And they aren’t likely to go to
war, expending blood and treasure and domestic political capital, over idle words
on social media.
Still, that doesn’t mean that Trump’s tweets—yes, even his
domestic-focused ones—don’t have a foreign policy consequences. Indeed, Nada Bakos,
a former US intelligence officer, recently wrote a thorough, outstanding piece for The Washington Post on this very topic. Bakos argues that Trump’s Twitter
account provides foreign actors with ample
information—information that’s free, requires almost zero effort to procure,
and can be accessed and analyzed in real time.
In particular, she writes: “Trump’s tweets offer plenty of
material for analysis. His frequent strong statements in reaction to news
coverage or events make it appear as if he lacks impulse control. In building a
profile of Trump, an analyst would offer suggestions on how foreign nations
could instigate stress or deescalate situations, depending on what type of
influence they may want to have over the president.” Further, Trump’s Twitter
reveals that he’s quick to anger, easy to flatter, and sensitive about the
ongoing Russia investigations. What does this all mean? Put simply, Bakos
claims, Trump is actively signaling to the world how foreign actors can gain
leverage over him, and by extension the US. He’s telling the world the various pressure
points—whether on policy issues or his thin-skinned personality—they can wield to their
advantage.
Moreover, even banal things on Trump’s Twitter page can aid
foreign actors. For instance, Bakos writes: “Analysts can glean information
about Trump’s sleep patterns from the time of day or night when he tweets,
showing which topics keep him up, his stress level and his state of mind.
Twitter also often reveals what Trump is watching on TV and when, as well as
what websites he turns to for news and analysis. Knowing this can be useful for
foreign governments when they are planning media events or deciding where to
try to seek coverage of their version of world events.”
This is deeply concerning. Trump is placing the US in a potentially horrible position. Not only could Trump be compromised by Russia as a result of possible shenanigans involving him and his staff, he might well be a disadvantaged and disempowered president globally because of his near-constant tweeting. Trump has created an environment in which he can be manipulated to the detriment of US national security, political, and economic interests. Even more troubling, there's no easy solution to this mess. Yes, his staffers want him to forgo his personal Twitter account and let them post as needed using the official @POTUS Twitter handle. But Trump firmly believes he receives tangible political benefits from avoiding the mainstream media and communicating directly to his millions of followers through social media. And another obstacle here is Trump's prickly, obstinate personality: he's not one to back down easily or admit defeat, even if the stakes are small, like the use of his personal Twitter account. Given these variables, it's difficult to envision him changing his Twitter habits.
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